Throughout this season’s Champions League marketing campaign, The Athletic has revealed projections — powered by Opta knowledge — to indicate how groups are anticipated to carry out in Europe’s prime competitors.
After the most recent spherical, the knockout play-offs, we crunched the numbers once more and got here up with the next.
Actual Madrid are solely fifth favourites to retain their title, given an 11 per cent probability of doing so, rated much less doubtless than Liverpool (17 per cent), Barcelona (16 per cent) and Arsenal (14 per cent). Atletico, in the meantime, are ninth-most prone to raise the well-known trophy, with a distant three per cent probability.
As for this tie in isolation, Actual Madrid have a 64 per cent probability of creating the quarter-final in line with the identical know-how.
GO FURTHER
Champions League projections 2024-25: Who will raise the trophy in Munich on Might 31?