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    MORSHEDI
    Home » Iran Update, March 6, 2025
    war

    Iran Update, March 6, 2025

    morshediBy morshediMarch 7, 2025No Comments21 Mins Read
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    Iran Update, March 6, 2025
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    Johanna
    Moore, Kelly Campa, Siddhant Kishore, Ria Reddy, Katherine Wells,
    Carolyn Moorman, Victoria Penza, Avery Borens, Annika Ganzeveld,
    and
    Brian Carter

    Data Cutoff: 2:00pm ET

    The
    Vital Threats Undertaking (CTP) on the American Enterprise Institute and
    the Institute for the Research of Battle (ISW) publish the Iran Replace, which
    supplies insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored actions that
    undermine regional stability and threaten US forces and pursuits.
    CTP-ISW publishes the Iran Replace each weekday.

    Click on here to see CTP and ISW’s interactive map of Israeli floor operations, and here
    to see CTP and ISW’s interactive map of the continuing opposition
    offensive in Syria. These maps are up to date day by day alongside the static
    maps current on this report.

    We don’t report intimately
    on struggle crimes as a result of these actions are well-covered in Western media
    and don’t straight have an effect on the army operations we’re assessing and
    forecasting. We completely condemn violations of the legal guidelines of armed
    battle and the Geneva Conventions and crimes towards humanity even
    although we don’t describe them in these experiences.

    Small-scale rebel cells have began to emerge and assault Syrian interim authorities forces in sure areas of Syria.
    Former Assad regime members carried out coordinated assaults on Syrian
    army checkpoints and patrols in Jableh, Beit Ana, and Daliyah in
    Latakia Province on March 6.[1] Interim authorities forces deployed to
    the realm and cordoned off the realm, presumably forward of a clearing
    effort.[2] Interim authorities forces suppressed fighters in Beit Ana and
    Daliyah however proceed to interact former Assad regime members within the
    Latakia countryside on the time of this writing.[3] CTP-ISW will
    proceed to watch this growing scenario. Former Assad regime
    members have killed a minimum of 13 Syrian troopers on March 6.[4] Former
    Assad regime loyalists have introduced their intent to revive Assad’s
    rule in Syria. It’s unlikely that the entire people who
    participated within the assaults on interim authorities forces joined within the
    preventing to topple the federal government and restore Assad, nevertheless.[5]

    Former Assad regime members will very doubtless kind the best rebel cells, given their pre-established networks.
    Former Assad regime members have already got preexisting networks that they
    can leverage to quickly manage rebel cells. These networks are
    army, intelligence, and political networks and felony syndicates
    who had been regime supporters and misplaced vital financial and political
    affect within the aftermath of Assad’s fall. These networks might allow
    former Assad regime members to coordinate assaults throughout wider areas.
    That is significantly true in former regime stronghold areas in coastal
    Syria.

    These hardcore Assadists will doubtless exploit a
    number of grievances towards the Syrian interim authorities to recruit
    new members who might or will not be initially motivated by a need to
    restore Assad.
    Rebel teams usually entice supporters who
    maintain a spread of social, financial, and political grievances.[6] Interim
    authorities forces have carried out near-constant raids in former regime
    strongholds focusing on former Assad regime members since coming to energy
    in December 2024.[7] These raids, whereas ensuing within the arrest of many
    mid- to high-level Assad regime officers, have additionally fueled experiences of
    revenge-based assaults and harassment, significantly towards the Alawite
    neighborhood.[8] Members of the Alawite neighborhood have expressed their
    perception that Alawites are being economically disenfranchised by Sunnis as
    a part of a broader effort to marginalize the Alawite neighborhood.[9] This
    will not be true; all of Syria is economically devastated, however Alawites
    imagine they’re ”uniquely” experiencing financial points
    nonetheless.[10] Former Assad regime members have reportedly used
    Alawite fears of assaults on the neighborhood to mobilize younger males to take
    up arms.[11] Interim authorities forces have additionally launched a marketing campaign to
    interdict drug smuggling in western Syria, chopping off a once-steady
    income stream for some felony syndicates and their beneficiaries.[12]
    Rebel teams can leverage these grievances towards the interim
    authorities to extend their supporter base, and have already begun to
    accomplish that.


    Poorly
    executed counter-insurgency operations danger fueling a cycle of violence
    and elevated native help for rebel teams if not carried out
    fastidiously.
    Rebel teams search to take advantage of insecurity and
    abuses to ascertain themselves as the first safety guarantor in a
    neighborhood.[13] Rebel teams conduct assaults on authorities safety
    forces to elicit a powerful response, which rebel teams can then
    body as authorities assaults on civilians.[14] Alawite activists have
    reportedly warned that the assaults on interim authorities forces in
    Latakia Province on March 6 aimed to elicit a harsh response from the
    Syrian authorities and thereby instigate an insurgency.[15] Former Assad
    regime members attacked an ambulance that was making an attempt to evacuate
    Syrian troopers from Jableh with the expectation that the interim
    authorities would reply to the assault with a big operation.[16] A
    heavy-handed method that fails to obviously distinguish between
    insurgents and civilians undermines authorities efforts to reestablish
    management over an space by exacerbating fears inside the neighborhood that
    authorities forces are focusing on civilians. This concern can in flip drive
    well-liked help for rebel teams.[17]

    Former senior
    Syrian Arab Military (SAA) Fourth Division officer Brigadier Common Gaith
    Dalah introduced the formation of a “army council to liberate Syria”
    on March 6.[18]
    Dalah introduced that the group’s goals
    embody the “liberation” of Syrian territory from the “terrorist,
    jihadist organizations” that management it, in reference to the Hayat
    Tahrir al Sham-led Syrian interim authorities.[19] The group additionally seeks
    to dismantle the Syrian interim authorities’s “deeply rooted sectarian
    constructions.” Dalah is a former Fourth Division common.[20] The United
    States designated Dalah as a specifically designated nationwide (SDN) in 2020
    for his efforts to forestall a ceasefire in Syria.[21] It’s unclear if
    Dalah really established this army council or if the group is
    claiming him as their chief because of his repute within the Assad regime.
    It’s notable and sure not a coincidence that the group introduced its
    formation on the identical day that regime-affiliated clashes broke out in
    coastal Syria.

    The US is contemplating a plan in
    which it might ask allies to cease and examine Iranian oil tankers,
    based on unspecified sources chatting with Reuters on March 6.[22]
    Iran might reply to such a plan by attacking or seizing industrial
    vessels or tankers within the Persian Gulf.
    The plan is a part of the
    US “most stress” marketing campaign, which seeks to drive Iranian oil
    exports to zero and thereby coerce Iran to barter a brand new nuclear
    deal.[23] US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasised on March 6 that
    america seeks to “shut down” Iran’s oil sector and drone
    manufacturing capabilities.[24] Iran has developed a number of methods to evade
    US sanctions on Iranian oil exports, reminiscent of conducting ship-to-ship
    transfers in Malaysia to obfuscate the origin of Iranian oil shipments
    to China.[25] Underneath the plan that Reuters reported on March 6, the
    United States would ask allies to examine Iranian tankers transiting
    chokepoints, such because the Malacca Strait off the coast of Malaysia, to
    stop illicit Iranian oil exports.[26] Iran has beforehand seized
    industrial tankers in response to Western seizures of Iranian tankers.
    Iran seized a tanker carrying Chevron oil within the Strait of Hormuz in
    April 2023 in response to america confiscating Iranian oil
    shipments, for instance.[27] This incident resulted in a steep improve
    in crude oil costs.[28]

    Syria has established a point
    of financial cooperation with Russia amid negotiations between the
    Syrian interim authorities and Russia over Russian basing rights in
    Syria.
    A US-sanctioned, Barbados-flagged tanker arrived on the
    coast of Baniyas, Tartous Province, Syria, on March 6.[29] The United
    States sanctioned the vessel in January 2025 for transporting Russian
    oil.[30] Reuters reported that the vessel departed from the Russian port
    of Primorsk for Syria on February 8 carrying 37,000 metric tons of
    ultra-low sulphur diesel.[31] It’s unclear whether or not the vessel has
    offloaded the diesel gas on the time of this writing. The Syrian
    interim authorities has sought to acquire oil since Iran halted oil
    exports to Syria after the autumn of the Assad regime. The Syrian
    authorities just lately reached a take care of the US-backed Syrian Democratic
    Forces (SDF) in February 2025 to move oil from SDF-controlled oil
    wells to authorities territory for refinement and use.[32] Russian oil
    exports to Syria would recommend that Russia seeks to reestablish its
    financial relationship with Syria, probably to realize favor with the
    interim authorities and attempt to safe army basing rights in Syria.

    Russian
    oil exports to Syria come as Syrian officers have expressed curiosity
    in growing financial ties with Russia in current weeks. Russia
    delivered native Syrian forex to the Syrian central financial institution on February
    12 following a name between Syrian Interim President Ahmed al Shara and
    Russian President Vladimir Putin.[33] Unspecified sources instructed the Wall Avenue Journal
    on March 5 that Syrian officers have sought to renegotiate the phrases
    of a number of contracts that the Assad regime signed with Russia. These
    contracts cowl Russian investments in phosphate mines and oil fields in
    the central Syrian desert, a fertilizer plant in Homs, and the port of
    Tartous.[34] A safety drive can be wanted to guard Russian property
    at mines and oil fields within the central Syrian desert on condition that ISIS
    often assaults services on this space. It’s unclear whether or not the
    Syrian interim authorities would decide to defending Russian property or
    enable some Russian safety presence at these websites. Russo-Syrian
    financial cooperation can happen with out an settlement between the
    interim authorities and Russia about Russian basing rights in Syria.
    Russia might attempt to use its financial help for Syria as leverage to
    safe a “decreased” army presence in Syria, nevertheless.

    The
    US and Israeli air forces carried out a joint train on March 4 to
    strengthen interoperability and put together for “a spread of eventualities.”
    [35]
    The drill concerned Israeli F-15Is, F-35Is, and a US B-52 bomber.[36]
    The train comes after senior Iranian army commanders have
    resurfaced threats to conduct a direct assault on Israel. These threats
    doubtless intention to form Israeli resolution making and deter a possible
    Israeli strike on Iran.[37]

    Distinguished Druze militias and
    the Syrian authorities agreed to ascertain Suwaydawi-led safety forces
    beneath interim Syrian authorities management in Suwayda Province.
    The
    Males of Dignity Motion introduced on March 6 that it and different
    distinguished Druze teams, together with Mudafa al Karama and Ahrar Jabal al
    Arab Gathering, reached an settlement with the interim Syrian Inside
    Ministry.[38] The Males of Dignity mentioned that Suwaydawi-led safety forces
    will oversee safety and struggle felony exercise and drug trafficking
    in Suwayda with logistical help from the Inside Ministry.[39] The
    Inside Ministry despatched eight police autos to Suwayda for the brand new
    safety drive to make use of and pledged to supply additional help within the
    coming days.[40]

    The Druze militias and interim authorities agreed
    that native leaders and residents from Suwayda would comprise the
    province’s safety models, though it’s unclear if Suwaydawis will
    have a majority presence within the models or if the models will solely be
    comprised of Suwaydawis.[41] The Syrian authorities has not reached a
    comparable safety association with every other minority group in Syria. The
    Males of Dignity have referred to as for a decentralized system of presidency
    from Damascus because the fall of the Assad regime.[42] Shara has, for the
    most half, rejected minority teams’ requires any sort of federalist
    system. His acquiescence to the presumably Druze demand that safety
    forces in Suwayda Province be comprised of Suwaydawis—doubtless Druze
    militia members—means that Shara is keen to calm down his place
    beneath sure situations. Shara might search to make an identical settlement
    with the Kurds in northeastern Syria, who’ve equally referred to as for a
    decentralized governance system.

    The Males of Dignity Motion’s
    settlement with the Syrian authorities is a departure from its earlier
    place, during which the group prevented the entry of presidency forces
    into Suwayda Province. The HTS-led Division of Army Operations
    briefly deployed to western Suwayda Province for the primary time on
    February 12 to comprise tensions surrounding the homicide of a neighborhood man,
    however it’s unclear if authorities forces remained within the space or in the event that they
    coordinated their operations with Druze militias.[43] The Syrian
    authorities has not forcibly deployed safety forces to areas in Suwayda
    Province and has prioritized negotiations with native Druze authorities,
    more likely to domesticate goodwill amongst Suwayda residents and the Druze
    neighborhood. A delegation of Druze officers, together with Ahrar al Arab
    Gathering chief Sheikh Suleiman Abdul Baqi and former Males of Dignity
    member Laith al Balous, met with Syrian Interim President Ahmed al Shara
    in Damascus on February 24 to debate safety cooperation in southern
    Syria.[44] Rising tensions in Suwayda over Israeli Prime Minister
    Benjamin Netanyahu’s demand to ”demilitarize” southern Syria might have
    contributed to the Males of Dignity’s willingness to cooperate with the
    Syrian authorities.[45]

    Key Takeaways:

    • Rising Syrian Insurgency: Small-scale
      rebel cells have began to emerge and assault Syrian interim
      authorities forces in sure areas of Syria. Former Assad regime members
      will very doubtless kind the best rebel cells, given their
      pre-established networks. These hardcore Assadists will doubtless exploit a
      number of grievances towards the Syrian interim authorities to recruit
      new members who might or will not be initially motivated by a need to
      restore Assad.
    • Iranian Sanctions Evasion: The
      United States is contemplating a plan during which it might ask allies to cease
      and examine Iranian oil tankers, based on unspecified sources
      chatting with Reuters on March 6. Iran might reply to such a plan by
      attacking or seizing industrial vessels or tankers within the Persian Gulf.
    • Russia in Syria: Syria
      has established a point of financial cooperation with Russia amid
      negotiations between the Syrian interim authorities and Russia over
      Russian basing rights in Syria. Russian oil exports to Syria come as
      Syrian officers have expressed curiosity in growing financial ties
      with Russia in current weeks.
    • US-Israeli Workout routines: The
      US and Israeli air forces carried out a joint train on March 4 to
      strengthen interoperability and put together for “a spread of eventualities.”
    • Druze in Syria: Distinguished
      Druze militias and the Syrian authorities agreed to ascertain
      Suwaydawi-led safety forces beneath interim Syrian authorities management in
      Suwayda Province. The Druze militias and interim authorities agreed that
      native leaders and residents from Suwayda would comprise the province’s
      safety models, though it’s unclear if Suwaydawis can have a
      majority presence within the models or if the models will solely be comprised of
      Suwaydawis.

    Syria

    Interim
    authorities forces concluded operations in al Sanamayn, north of Daraa,
    on March 6 after they engaged a militia within the space that collaborated
    with the Syrian regime.
    [46] Interim authorities forces deployed
    to al Sanamayn on March 5 after a militia led by Mohsen al Haymed killed
    two interim authorities safety personnel.[47] Haymed’s faction has
    operated in al Sanamayn since a minimum of 2018, when the group reconciled with
    the Assad regime and started collaborating with the regime Army
    Intelligence, based on Syrian opposition media.[48] Syrian media
    reported that clashes between interim authorities forces and Haymed’s
    faction killed eight interim authorities safety personnel.[49] The
    Syrian Interim Protection Ministry reported on March 6 that it has arrested
    greater than 60 members of Haymed’s faction and killed 9 others.[50] It
    is unclear if Haymed stays at-large.[51]

    Jordanian Border Guard forces thwarted a drug and weapons smuggling try alongside the Jordan-Syria border on March 6.[52] Jordanian
    border forces engaged the smugglers, killing 4 of them, whereas the
    remaining smugglers fled again into Syrian territory. Jordanian
    authorities recovered a big drug cargo and a Kalashnikov-style
    rifle from the smugglers.[53]

    Israeli forces continued to function in southern Quneitra Province on March 5 and 6. Israeli armored autos reportedly entered the village of Kudna and operated close to a hill south of Kudna.[54]


    The
    co-chairman of the Turkish pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Equality and Democracy
    (DEM) Celebration, Keskin Bayindir, referred to as for the discharge of PKK chief
    Abdullah Ocalan on March 6.
    [55] Bayindir mentioned that Ocalan’s
    launch is “crucial” to advance negotiations between the PKK and the
    Turkish authorities. Bayindir’s name comes after Ocalan urged the PKK to
    disarm and dissolve on February 27.[56] A number of PKK leaders have
    expressed help for Ocalan’s name.[57]

    Turkey and the
    Turkish-backed Syrian Nationwide Military (SNA) have continued to assault
    US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) positions in Aleppo and Raqqa
    provinces since CTP-ISW’s final knowledge cutoff on March 5.
    Turkey
    and the SNA struck SDF positions close to the Qara Qozak Bridge in jap
    Aleppo Province.[58] The SDF reported that Turkish plane additionally struck
    an SDF place south of Kobani.[59] The SDF mentioned that it shelled
    Turkish or Turkish-backed fighters close to the Qara Qozak
    Bridge in response, killing one fighter.[60] Turkish drones struck SDF
    positions alongside the M4 freeway on March 6.[61] The SNA shelled SDF
    positions close to the Tishreen Dam on March 6.[62]


    The
    Turkish Protection Ministry introduced that Turkey has killed 26 Kurdistan
    Staff’ Celebration (PKK) fighters in northern Iraq and Syria prior to now
    week.[63]
    Turkey usually conflates the SDF and the PKK-linked
    Kurdish Individuals’s Safety Items (YPG) with the PKK and makes use of “PKK” to
    seek advice from your entire SDF.

    The UK (UK) suspended
    sanctions and asset freezes on 24 Syrian entities within the Syrian vitality,
    banking, and transportation sectors on March 6.
    [64] The UK
    introduced a plan to ease sanctions on Syria’s vitality, transport, and
    monetary sectors in February 2025.[65] The UK will keep sanctions
    on members of the Assad regime and people concerned in drug
    smuggling.[66] The UK said on March 6 that it’s going to proceed to guage
    the interim authorities “by their actions, not their phrases.”[67] Shara
    and his allies have prioritized securing sanctions reduction from the West
    because it fashioned the interim authorities in December 2024.[68]

    Syrian
    Interim International Affairs Minister Asaad al Shaibani attended an
    Group for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) assembly in
    The Hague on March 5.[69]
    Shaibani said that his
    participation within the assembly mirrored Syria’s dedication to
    worldwide safety and reaching justice for victims of the Assad
    regime’s chemical weapons assaults. Shaibani held conferences with
    Worldwide Legal Court docket Prosecutor Karim Khan and Director Common
    of the Worldwide Fee on Lacking Individuals Kathryne
    Bomberger.[70] Shaibani and Khan mentioned efforts to strengthen
    transitional justice in Syria. Shaibani and Bomberger mentioned
    growing cooperation to seek for people who disappeared beneath
    the Assad regime. Shaibani’s participation within the OPCW assembly is the
    newest in a collection of worldwide engagements which can be designed to
    distance the Syrian interim authorities from the Assad regime’s crimes
    and painting the interim authorities as a reasonable governing establishment.

    Iraq

    Axis of Resistance goals:

    • Strengthen Iranian and Axis of Resistance affect over the Iraqi state and society
    • Harden the Iraqi authorities towards inside dissent

    Iranian-backed Iraqi militias continued to debate their technique for the October 2025 parliamentary elections. Iraqi
    media reported on March 6 that a number of militias, together with Kataib
    Hezbollah, Harakat Hezbollah al Nujaba, and Kataib Sayyid al Shuhada,
    might kind a political alliance referred to as the “Iraqi Resistance.”[71] The
    militias might be part of smaller alliances or ally with the Shia Coordination
    Framework within the upcoming elections. The Shia Coordination Framework is a
    unfastened coalition of Shia political events, a few of that are backed by
    Iran. This report is in line with current experiences that Iranian-backed
    Iraqi militias’ political wings might “be part of alliances” and kind a
    political bloc “impressed by the Iraqi resistance,” probably in reference
    to the Islamic Resistance in Iraq.[72] The Islamic Resistance in Iraq
    is a coalition of Iranian-backed Iraqi militias, together with Kataib
    Hezbollah, Harakat Hezbollah al Nujaba, and Kataib Sayyid al Shuhada,
    that continuously focused Israel and US forces in Iraq and Syria throughout
    the October 7 Battle.[73] A well-organized political alliance might
    improve the militias’ illustration in parliament and subsequently
    improve Iranian affect within the Iraqi political sphere.

    Arabian Peninsula

    Axis of Resistance goals:

    • Harden the Houthi regime towards inside dissent in Houthi-controlled areas
    • Destroy the anti-Houthi opposition in an effort to management all of Yemen
    • Erode Israeli will to proceed the struggle within the Gaza Strip

    Nothing vital to report.

    The Palestinian Territories and Lebanon

    Axis of Resistance goals:

    • Erode the need of the Israeli political institution and public to maintain clearing operations within the Gaza Strip
    • Reestablish Hamas because the governing authority within the Gaza Strip
    • Rebuild and reestablish Hezbollah in southern Lebanon
    • Set up the West Financial institution as a viable entrance towards Israel

    Nothing vital to report.

    Iranian Determination-Making, Inside Dynamics, and International Coverage

    The Iranian rial depreciated from 887,900 rials to at least one US greenback on March 5 to 891,700 rials to at least one US greenback on March 6.[74]

    The
    United States and the E3 (the UK, France, and Germany)
    issued a press release condemning Iranian noncompliance with the
    Worldwide Atomic Power Company (IAEA) on the IAEA Board of Governors
    assembly on March 5.
    [75] UK Ambassador to the IAEA Corinne
    Kitsell mentioned that america and the E3 should not have “limitless
    endurance” and warned that the “complete report” on Iranian nuclear
    actions might present that Iran is “in non-compliance with its
    safeguards agreements.” The IAEA handed a censure decision proposed by
    the E3 in November 2024 that requires the IAEA to provide a
    “complete report” on Iranian nuclear actions by spring 2025.[76]
    CTP-ISW beforehand assessed that the report would virtually definitely
    verify Iranian noncompliance with the 2015 Joint Complete Plan of
    Motion (JCPOA) and lay the muse for the E3 to reimpose snapback
    sanctions in early March 2025.[77] The JCPOA snapback mechanism permits
    JCPOA signatories to reimpose UN Safety Council sanctions on Iran in
    the occasion of “vital non-performance by Iran of JCPOA
    commitments.”[78] The snapback mechanism expires in October 2025.

    The
    Iranian international affairs minister appointed former Deputy International
    Affairs Minister for Authorized and Worldwide Affairs Reza Najafi because the
    Iranian ambassador to the United Nations (UN) in Vienna and the IAEA.
    [79]
    Najafi changed Mohsen Naziri Asl who served within the function since 2022.
    Najafi beforehand served because the Iranian ambassador to the UN in Vienna
    and the IAEA between 2013 and 2018.[80] Iran and the P5+1 (the United
    States, the UK, China, France, Russia and Germany) signed
    the JCPOA in 2015.

    The Iran Replace supplies insights into
    Iranian and Iranian-sponsored actions overseas that undermine regional
    stability and threaten US forces and pursuits. It additionally covers occasions
    and tendencies that have an effect on the steadiness and decision-making of the Iranian
    regime. The Vital Threats Undertaking (CTP) on the American Enterprise
    Institute and the Institute for the Research of Battle (ISW) supplies these
    updates often primarily based on regional occasions.

    CTP-ISW
    defines the “Axis of Resistance” because the unconventional alliance that
    Iran has cultivated within the Center East because the Islamic Republic got here
    to energy in 1979. This transnational coalition is comprised of state,
    semi-state, and non-state actors that cooperate to safe their
    collective pursuits. Tehran considers itself to be each a part of the
    alliance and its chief. Iran furnishes these teams with various ranges
    of economic, army, and political help in trade for some
    diploma of affect or management over their actions. Some are conventional
    proxies which can be extremely attentive to Iranian route, whereas others
    are companions over which Iran exerts extra restricted affect. Members of
    the Axis of Resistance are united by their grand strategic goals,
    which embody eroding and finally expelling American affect from
    the Center East, destroying the Israeli state, or each. Pursuing these
    goals and supporting the Axis of Resistance to these ends have
    turn out to be cornerstones of Iranian regional technique.

    [1]
    https://x.com/SanaAjel/standing/1897637704239562763 ;
    https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897666350115377632 ;
    https://x.com/EuphratesPost/standing/1897716682300268686

    [2] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897666350115377632 ; https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897682953574261037

    [3]
    https://x.com/EuphratesPost/standing/1897716682300268686 ;
    https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897777644520829401 ;
    https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897682953574261037

    [4] https://t.me/nahermedia/45465

    [5] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897706473612099639

    [6]
    https://2009-2017.state.gov/paperwork/group/119629.pdf ;
    https://www.mei.edu/publications/mullah-omar-wants-you-taliban-mobilization-strategies-or-motivations-joining
    ;
    https://archive.smallwarsjournal.com/index.php/jrnl/artwork/psychology-of-participation-in-insurgency

    [7]
    https://t.me/ALBADIA_24/3878 ;
    https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1883109082300883054 ;
    https://x.com/SanaAjel/standing/1879091411045474646

    [8]
    https://x.com/SanaAjel/standing/1892243574315520505 ;
    https://www.mei.edu/publications/security-alawite-regions-post-assad-syria

    [9] https://x.com/GregoryPWaters/standing/1892119268881277373

    [10] https://x.com/GregoryPWaters/standing/1892119268881277373

    [11]
    https://x.com/GregoryPWaters/standing/1897710423195156853 ;
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/16/constant-fear-alawites-syria-homs-terrified-reprisals
    ; https://x.com/GregoryPWaters/standing/1897712035192094841

    [12]
    https://t.me/AbomosaabSharkea/135799 ;
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/might/07/drug-captagon-turning-syria-into-narco-state

    [13] https://www.understandingwar.org/jaysh-al-mahdi ; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-27-2023

    [14]

    https://www.hqmc.marines.mil/Portals/61/Docs/Al-AnbarAwakeningVolIIpercent5B1percent5D.pdf
    ; https://x.com/GregoryPWaters/standing/1897723421955703278

    [15] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897706473612099639

    [16] https://x.com/GregoryPWaters/standing/1897723421955703278

    [17] https://www.hqmc.marines.mil/Portals/61/Docs/Al-AnbarAwakeningVolIIpercent5B1percent5D.pdf

    [18] https://x.com/EuphratesPost/standing/1897710698550972678; https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897764296358088933

    [19] https://x.com/EuphratesPost/standing/1897710698550972678

    [20] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897764296358088933

    [21] https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20200820 ; https://2017-2021.state.gov/syria-sanctions-designations-2/

    [22] https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/us-mulls-plan-disrupt-irans-oil-by-halting-vessels-sea-2025-03-06/

    [23] https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/national-security-presidential-memorandum-nspm-2/

    [24]

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/06/us-will-collapse-irans-economy-by-shutting-down-its-oil-industry-treasury-secretary-says.html

    [25]
    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-iran-south-china-sea-oil-trade/
    ;
    https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/russian-iranian-oil-supply-china-rebounds-new-vessels-cash-trade-2025-02-28/

    [26] https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/us-mulls-plan-disrupt-irans-oil-by-halting-vessels-sea-2025-03-06/

    [27]
    https://x.com/US5thFleet/standing/1651560354265145344 ;
    https://www.reuters.com/world/tanker-involved-us-seizure-iran-oil-cargo-changes-name-2023-09-20/

    [28] https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/us-mulls-plan-disrupt-irans-oil-by-halting-vessels-sea-2025-03-06/

    [29] https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/particulars/ships/shipid:753736/mmsi:314982000/imo:9322956/vessel:PROSPERITY

    [30]
    https://house.treasury.gov/information/press-releases/jy2777;
    https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/russia-ships-diesel-syria-tanker-under-us-sanctions-data-shows-2025-03-06/

    [31] https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/vitality/russia-ships-diesel-syria-tanker-under-us-sanctions-data-shows-2025-03-06/

    [32] https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/syrias-northeast-begins-supplying-oil-damascus-oil-ministry-says-2025-02-22/

    [33]
    https://x.com/SanaAjel/standing/1890343048099303916 ;
    https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-february-14-2025

    [34]

    https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/russia-is-chasing-a-deal-to-keep-its-military-bases-in-syria-f9f6ca6e?mod=middle-east_news_article_pos1
    ; https://www.ft.com/content material/30ddfdd0-b83e-11e9-96bd-8e884d3ea203

    [35] https://x.com/IDF/standing/1897590213855068601; https://x.com/CENTCOM/standing/1897605258685071534

    [36] https://x.com/IDF/standing/1897590213855068601

    [37] https://www.criticalthreats.org/evaluation/iran-update-february-20-2025

    [38] https://www.fb.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1181914033301593&id=100044490217016

    [39] https://www.fb.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1181914033301593&id=100044490217016

    [40] https://www.fb.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1181914033301593&id=100044490217016

    [41] https://www.fb.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1181914033301593&id=100044490217016

    [42] https://www.wsj.com/opinion/syria-has-a-new-governmentor-does-it-al-sharaa-hts-islamist-0f938cc5?mod=opinion_lead_pos12

    [43] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1889625860702900324; https://x.com/suwayda24/standing/1889630059318649280

    [44] https://x.com/suwayda24/standing/1894139731728109813

    [45]

    https://www.yahoo.com/information/israel-wants-demilitarization-parts-southern-204817731.html;
    https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-march-3-2025

    [46] https://t.me/HalabTodayTV/120539 ; https://t.me/Free_Daraa_city/1358 ;

    [47] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897223940709433548

    [48] www dot npasyria.com/en/120576

    [49] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897393573915713627

    [50] https://t.me/Free_Daraa_city/1358 ; https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897627238704521339

    [51] https://x.com/QalaatAlMudiq/standing/1897393573915713627

    [52]
    https://www.hala dot
    jo/2025/03/06/%D9percent82percentD9percent88percentD8percentA7percentD8percentAA-%D8percentADpercentD8percentB1percentD8percentB3-%D8percentA7percentD9percent84percentD8percentADpercentD8percentAFpercentD9percent88percentD8percentAF-%D8percentAApercentD8percentB4percentD8percentAApercentD8percentA8percentD9percent83-%D9percent85percentD8percentB9-%D9percent85percentD8percentACpercentD9percent85percentD9percent88percentD8percentB9percentD8percentA7percentD8percentAA-%D9percent85percentD8percentB3percentD9percent84percentD8percentADpercentD8percentA9/

    [53]
    https://www.hala dot
    jo/2025/03/06/%D9percent82percentD9percent88percentD8percentA7percentD8percentAA-%D8percentADpercentD8percentB1percentD8percentB3-%D8percentA7percentD9percent84percentD8percentADpercentD8percentAFpercentD9percent88percentD8percentAF-%D8percentAApercentD8percentB4percentD8percentAApercentD8percentA8percentD9percent83-%D9percent85percentD8percentB9-%D9percent85percentD8percentACpercentD9percent85percentD9percent88percentD8percentB9percentD8percentA7percentD8percentAA-%D9percent85percentD8percentB3percentD9percent84percentD8percentADpercentD8percentA9/

    [54] https://x.com/Daraa24_24/standing/1897719477586084097 ; https://x.com/Nuorgolan/standing/1897361665601183861

    [55] https://www.rudawarabia dot internet/arabic/middleeast/turkey/060320251

    [56] https://x.com/ragipsoylu/standing/1895120510109000176

    [57]
    https://www.rudaw dot internet/sorani/kurdistan/050320252 ;
    https://www.turkishminute dot
    com/2025/03/03/senior-pkk-figure-says-turkish-officials-engaged-in-talks-with-ocalan-for-a-year-before-his-historic-call/

    [58] https://t.me/AbomosaabSharkea/137231 ; https://npasyria dot com/206983/

    [59] https://npasyria dot com/206983/

    [60] https://npasyria dot com/206983/

    [61] https://t.me/AbomosaabSharkea/137246

    [62] https://t.me/AbomosaabSharkea/137259

    [63] hhttps://x.com/tcsavunma/standing/1897576112487612769

    [64] https://www.gov.uk/authorities/information/update-on-syria-lifting-asset-freezes-on-24-entities

    [65]

    https://www.gov.uk/authorities/speeches/update-on-uk-syria-sanctions-regime-minister-doughty-statement;

    https://www.barrons.com/articles/uk-plans-to-ease-syria-sanctionsafter-assad-fall-govt-8b5e25f5

    [66] https://www.gov.uk/authorities/information/update-on-syria-lifting-asset-freezes-on-24-entities

    [67] https://www.gov.uk/authorities/information/update-on-syria-lifting-asset-freezes-on-24-entities

    [68]

    https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/after-assad-navigating-syria-policy-part-1;
    https://english dot
    alarabiya.internet/Information/middle-east/2024/12/29/syria-s-new-elections-and-draft-constitution-al-sharaa-outlines-timeline
    ;
    https://www.voanews.com/a/syrian-ministers-urge-lifting-of-us-sanctions-in-first-visit-to-doha/7924928.html
    ;
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/16/world/middleeast/syria-al-shara-al-assad.html

    [69] https://x.com/SanaAjel/standing/1897171591223726453

    [70] https://t.me/HalabTodayTV/120550; https://x.com/thiqanewsagency/standing/1897356929003085848

    [71] https://almadapaper dot internet/398044/

    [72] https://almadapaper dot internet/397373/

    [73] https://www.fdd.org/evaluation/op_eds/2024/06/04/the-islamic-resistance-in-iraq-increases-its-drone-attacks-on-israel/

    [74] https://www.tgju dot org/forex; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-march-5-2025

    [75] https://ir.usembassy.gov/quad-statement-iaea-board-of-governors-meeting/

    [76]

    https://ir.usembassy.gov/quad-statement-iaea-board-of-governors-meeting/
    ;
    https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/un-nuclear-watchdogs-35-nation-board-passes-resolution-against-iran-2024-11-21/

    [77] https://www.criticalthreats.org/evaluation/iran-update-november-14-2024

    [78] https://www.europarl.europa.eu/cmsdata/122460/full-text-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal.pdf

    [79] https://en.mehrnews dot com/information/229297/Najafi-appointed-Iran-s-envoy-to-Vienna-based-intl-bodies

    [80] https://english.alarabiya dot internet/Information/middle-east/2025/03/06/iran-appoints-new-envoy-to-un-nuclear-watchdog-



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