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    Home » Avoid stocks that saw ‘double misses’ this earnings season, Wolfe Research warns
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    Avoid stocks that saw ‘double misses’ this earnings season, Wolfe Research warns

    morshediBy morshediAugust 21, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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    Avoid stocks that saw ‘double misses’ this earnings season, Wolfe Research warns
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    Shares which have missed analysts’ expectations on each the highest and backside strains this earnings season may very well be good candidates to promote, in line with Wolfe Analysis. For essentially the most half, the second-quarter earnings season has blown away Wall Avenue expectations. Roughly 94% of the S & P 500 has already reported, and 82% of corporations have delivered a constructive earnings shock. About 79% of corporations have posted income exceeding analysts’ estimates. However a number of shares have lagged their numbers. A latest report from Wolfe Analysis shared an inventory of corporations that traders may think about promoting — shares that missed each income and earnings expectations this quarter, whereas additionally having adverse year-to-date earnings revisions for 2025. One identify on Wolfe’s checklist was Southwest Airways , down 8% this 12 months. Final month, Southwest reported adjusted earnings of 43 cents per share on income of $7.24 billion in its newest quarter, whereas analysts polled by FactSet had estimated earnings of 51 cents and income of $7.30 billion. Afterward, Evercore ISI downgraded the Dallas-based provider to an in-line ranking from outperform. Nonetheless, analyst Duane Pfennigwerth’s $40 worth goal implies Southwest shares might soar 28% from the Wednesday shut. “Buying and selling at 36x ’25E, 11x ’26E EPS, we consider shares at the moment are a lot nearer to truthful worth and are starting to extra absolutely worth in clear execution of those initiatives into subsequent 12 months,” Pfennigwerth wrote. “We additionally surprise if the corporate’s aggressive tempo of buyback (doubtless a giant contributor to YTD outperformance) will be sustained at this fee.” One other inventory that Wolfe says traders may keep away from is Align Expertise . Shares of the maker of Invisalign orthodontics have tumbled 32% in 2025. In July, Align’s second-quarter earnings and income missed analysts’ estimates. The corporate additionally guided for current-quarter income within the vary of $965 million to $985 million, under the FactSet consensus amongst analysts of $1.04 billion. Within the wake of the report, Morgan Stanley downgraded Align to equal weight from chubby, slashing its 12-month worth goal to $154 per share from $249. The brand new forecast implies shares may add one other 7% from the Wednesday shut. “Our prior [overweight] thesis was primarily based on ALGN’s management in a excessive progress class, however progress has been challenged for years, w/ restricted readability on [the] path from right here,” wrote analyst Erin Wright. “We view a re-rate decrease as warranted, nearer to the Dental peer common.” Protection prime contractor Lockheed Martin is one other promote, in line with Truist. The funding financial institution downgraded Lockheed to a maintain from purchase after second-quarter income on the maker of the F-35 fighter-bomber fell in need of Wall Avenue estimates, and it lowered its full-year steering under prior estimates. Truist additionally slashed its worth goal to $440 per share from $554, implying the inventory will not do a lot within the coming 12 months. “We’re downgrading LMT shares now as we’ve little confidence that administration will be capable to execute on its multi-year progress framework, and we cannot make certain that extra expenses won’t materialize within the coming quarters,” wrote analyst Michael Ciarmoli. “We anticipate shares will commerce flat for the stability of the 12 months given a scarcity of catalysts and consider LMT shares will proceed to commerce at a reduced a number of vs its bigger friends.” Shares of Lockheed Martin, which yields nearly 3%, are down 8% on the 12 months.



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