Jessica Sobieski, Christina Harward, Grace Mappes, Jennie Olmsted, Anna Harvey, Olivia Gibson, and George Barros with Nate Trotter
August 30, 2025, 8:15 pm ET
Click on here to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is up to date each day alongside the static maps current on this report.
Click on here to see ISW’s interactive map of Ukraine’s offensive in Kursk Oblast.
Click on here to see ISW’s 3D management of terrain topographic map of Ukraine. Use of a pc (not a cellular machine) is strongly beneficial for utilizing this data-heavy instrument.
Click on here to entry ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain map that ISW produces each day by displaying a dynamic frontline. ISW will replace this time-lapse map archive month-to-month.
Notice: The info cut-off for this product was 1:15 pm ET on August 30. ISW will cowl subsequent experiences within the August 31 Russian Offensive Marketing campaign Evaluation.
The Kremlin seems to have launched a coordinated informational effort posturing navy energy on the battlefield as a way to form Western considering and falsely painting a Russian victory as inevitable. Russian Chief of the Normal Workers Military Normal Valery Gerasimov claimed on August 30 that Russian forces have seized 3,500 sq. kilometers of territory and 149 settlements since March 2025.[1] Gerasimov claimed that Russian forces seized 210 sq. kilometers and 13 settlements simply in northern Sumy Oblast — doubtless additionally since March 2025. Gerasimov claimed that Russian forces occupy 99.7 p.c of Luhansk Oblast, 79 p.c of Donetsk Oblast, 76 p.c of Kherson Oblast, and 74 p.c of Zaporizhia Oblast. Gerasimov moreover claimed that Russian forces have seized roughly 50 p.c of Kupyansk and seized 10 settlements within the Lyman route since March 2025: Myrne, Katerynivka, Novomykhailivka, Nove, Lypove, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Zelena Dolyna, Kolodyazi, and Serednie.[2] Gerasimov claimed that Russian forces seized 5 settlements within the Velykomykhailivka route since March 2025: Maliivka, Novoheorhiivka, Vorone, Sichneve, and Zaporizske.
ISW assesses that Gerasimov is inflating most of his claims. ISW has noticed proof to evaluate that Russian forces have gained solely roughly 2,346 sq. kilometers of Ukrainian territory and seized 130 settlements since March 1. Gerasimov’s claims notably inflate Russian features by roughly 1,200 sq. kilometers and 19 settlements. ISW assesses that Russian forces gained 212 sq. kilometers in northern Sumy Oblast, however solely occupy 9 settlements in northern Sumy Oblast. ISW assesses that Russian forces occupy roughly 99.7 p.c of Luhansk Oblast, 76.7 p.c of Donetsk Oblast, 73.2 p.c of Kherson Oblast, and 73 p.c of Zaporizhia Oblast. ISW assesses that Russian forces have solely seized 6.3 p.c of Kupyansk and that Russian forces haven’t seized all of Myrne, Novomykhailivka, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Kolodyazi, Serednie, Vorone, Sichneve, or Komyshuvakha. Gerasimov just isn’t the primary senior Russian navy official in latest days to make aggrandized claims of Russian advances. Russian Protection Minister Andrei Belousov equally claimed on August 29 that Russian forces are at the moment seizing 600 to 700 sq. kilometers monthly, however ISW assesses that Russian forces superior solely 440 to 500 kilometers monthly in June, July, and August 2025.[3] The Kremlin is probably going trying to affect Western policymaking by creating the misunderstanding that Russian advances and victory are inevitable. The Kremlin seems to be attempting to make use of giant quantities of quantitative knowledge to create the misunderstanding that Russian forces are advancing at a quick fee on the battlefield. The Kremlin is attempting to persuade the West that Russia will inevitably obtain its conflict targets on the battlefield, such that Ukraine ought to concede to Russian calls for and the West ought to subsequently stop its help of Ukraine.
The Kremlin’s presentation of territorial features statistics ignores the numerous losses that Russia is incurring and the gradual, creeping nature of Russia’s advances — portray an incomplete image of Russian efficiency on the battlefield. Russian opposition shops Meduza and Mediazona reported on August 29 that knowledge from the Russian Register of Inheritance Circumstances (RND) means that a minimum of 93,000 Russian navy personnel died in 2024 — nearly twice as many as in 2023 (about 50,000).[4] The shops used a predictive mannequin to estimate that a minimum of 56,000 Russian troopers had died for the reason that begin of 2025. The shops caveated that the RND knowledge is imperfect for assessing Russian losses as family of deceased have a minimum of 180 days to open an inheritance case for lifeless or presumed-dead Russian troopers, so the final six months’ value of information (since about February 2025) is considerably incomplete. The shops said that the variety of inheritance circumstances rose to 2,000 per week by mid-2025. There was a pointy improve within the second half of 2024 of Russian courtroom circumstances recognizing lacking individuals as lifeless (together with however not restricted to lacking in motion [MIA] Russian troopers whom the courtroom deemed killed in motion [KIA]). The shops discovered that there was solely a rise of circumstances involving lacking individuals within the RND since mid-2024 amongst males — not ladies — a phenomenon that the shops said can solely be in line with a rise in fatality charges within the conflict.
Russian forces have been affected by particularly excessive casualties since Winter 2024, and these losses have come at disproportionately small territorial features.[5] ISW continues to evaluate that Russia’s excessive losses are unsustainable within the medium- to long-term.[6] Russia’s features have been largely gradual and creeping for a lot of months, and Russia’s fee of advance is extremely sluggish below the norms of recent mechanized warfare. Russian forces have been utilizing gentle motorized automobiles (reminiscent of buggies, ATVs, and bikes) and infiltration techniques to make features throughout the entrance, however Russia’s fee of advance has but to extend past a foot tempo.[7] Russian forces have additionally not been capable of consolidate and exploit their infiltrations, such because the latest penetration east and northeast of Dobropillya.[8] Any evaluation of Russia’s battlefield efficiency and energy should study each the tempo of advance and the ensuing losses to make these features. The Kremlin’s presentation of doubtless inflated territorial achieve statistics with out essential context for the losses for these features is probably going an try to govern perceptions about Russia’s navy efficiency and buttress a longstanding Kremlin narrative that Russia’s victory on the battlefield is inevitable. It’s not.
Russia launched one other large-scale mixed drone and missile strike towards Ukraine on the night time of August 29 to 30 — the third mixed strike with over 500 drones and missiles for the reason that August 15 US-Russia summit in Alaska. The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that Russian forces launched eight Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles from Rostov Oblast and Krasnodar Krai and 37 Kh-101, Kalibr, Iskander-Ok, and Kh-59 cruise missiles from over Saratov Oblast, the Black Sea, and occupied Zaporizhia Oblast.[9] The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that Russian forces additionally launched 537 Shahed-type and decoy drones from the instructions of Kursk, Bryansk, and Oryol cities; Millerovo, Rostov Oblast; Shatlovo, Smolensk Oblast; and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai. The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that Ukrainian air defenses downed 510 drones; six Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles; and 32 Kh-101, Kalibr, Iskander-Ok, and Kh-59 cruise missiles. The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that 5 missiles and 24 drones struck seven places all through Ukraine and that drone particles fell on 21 places. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Russian forces struck a residential constructing in Zaporizhzhia Metropolis, killing a minimum of one civilian and injuring dozens.[10] Zelensky reported that Russian drones and missiles struck primarily civilian infrastructure in Volyn, Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, Zaporizhia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kyiv, Rivne, Sumy, Kharkiv, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, and Chernivtsi oblasts. Kyiv Oblast Navy Head Mykola Kalashnyk reported that the Russian strike on Kyiv Metropolis lasted 10 hours and broken civilian and vitality infrastructure.[11] Ukrainian broadcaster Suspline reported that the strike broken civilian infrastructure in Dnipro Metropolis.[12] ISW continues to evaluate that Russia used the lead-up to the August 15 Alaska summit to stockpile drones and missiles and performed extra restricted strikes towards Ukraine to falsely current itself as a good-faith negotiator to the US administration.[13] Russia will doubtless escalate its strikes towards Ukraine within the coming weeks to leverage its replenished missile and drone stockpiles and degrade Ukrainian vitality infrastructure forward of the approaching winter.[14]
The Kremlin seems to be setting situations to demote a senior Kremlin official who reportedly suggested Russian President Vladimir Putin in latest months to finish the conflict in Ukraine. Putin signed a decree on August 29 abolishing the Presidential Administration’s Division for Interregional and Cultural Relations with Overseas Nations and Division for Cross-Border Cooperation, as a substitute creating the Division for Strategic Cooperation.[15] Kremlin Presidential Administration Deputy Head Dmitry Kozak supervised each these departments previous to their dissolution. Russian outlet Vedomosti reported on August 29, citing two sources near the Presidential Administration and one other supply within the workplace of the Presidential Plenipotentiary Consultant within the Northwestern Federal Okrug, that Kozak is a candidate to turn into the Presidential Plenipotentiary Consultant within the Northwestern Federal Okrug.[16] Two extra sources indicated to Vedomosti that there are discussions throughout the Kremlin about Kozak’s resignation from his Presidential Administration publish — successfully pushing Kozak out of the Kremlin and Putin’s internal circle. The New York Instances (NYT) reported on August 10 that Western and Russian sources indicated that Kozak misplaced his affect within the Kremlin after he suggested Putin up to now few months to instantly cease preventing in Ukraine, begin peace negotiations, and scale back the ability of Russia’s safety providers.[17] Kozak had been considered one of Putin’s closest advisors and oversaw Kremlin technique in Ukraine and Moldova earlier than the Kremlin shifted this accountability to Presidential Administration Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko after February 2022.[18] Reviews indicating that the Kremlin is getting ready to push a longtime senior Kremlin official from his place after expressing a need to finish the conflict in Ukraine are additional indicators that the Kremlin has no plans to finish the conflict, as Russian Overseas Minister Sergey Lavrov has explicitly said for the reason that August 15 Alaska summit.[19]
Ukrainian forces proceed to strike Russian navy and vitality infrastructure in Russia. The Ukrainian Normal Workers reported on August 30 that Ukrainian parts, together with from the Unmanned Techniques Forces (USF) and Particular Operations Forces (SSO), performed drone strikes towards the Syzran Oil Refinery in Samara Oblast and the Krasnodar Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai in a single day.[20] The Ukrainian Normal Workers reported that the Syzran Refinery can produce 8.5 million tons of gasoline, diesel gas, jet gas, gas oil, and bitumen per yr and that the Krasnodar Refinery can produce three million tons of gasoline, diesel, and jet gas per yr. The Normal Workers reported that there was a hearth on the Syzran Refinery and quite a few explosions on the Krasnodar Refinery. Geolocated footage revealed on August 29 exhibits a hearth at Krasnodar Refinery.[21] Geolocated footage revealed on August 30 exhibits a hearth at Syzran Refinery.[22] The Krasnodar Krai Operation Headquarters claimed on August 30 that drone particles broken a processing unit at Krasnodar Refinery and triggered a 300-square meter hearth on the enterprise.[23] ISW continues to evaluate that Ukraine’s strike marketing campaign towards Ukrainian vitality infrastructure is impacting Russia’s home gasoline market, exacerbating shortages and inflicting value spikes that may doubtless push inflation upwards and create additional macroeconomic instability in Russia.[24]
A Ukrainian Most important Navy Intelligence Directorate (GUR) supply reported to Ukrainian broadcaster Suspilne on August 30 that the GUR destroyed a Russian explosives warehouse in Tula Oblast close to the Aleksinsky Chemical Plant, which produces pyroxylin powder for small arms ammunition, artillery techniques, and rocket engines.[25]
Russian Investigative Committee Chairperson Alexander Bastrykin will keep in his present place for one more yr, following experiences that Russian President Vladimir Putin was contemplating shifting Bastrykin to a brand new place. Russian President Vladimir Putin prolonged on August 30 Bastrykin’s time period because the chairperson of the Investigative Committee till August 27, 2026.[26] Bastrykin was reportedly a candidate to turn into the chairperson of the Russian Supreme Courtroom, however refused the place throughout a closed-door assembly with Putin.[27] Bastrykin reportedly requested Putin to stay in his present place for one more yr.
An unknown assailant shot and killed former Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Chairperson Andriy Parubiy in Lviv Metropolis on August 30. The Ukrainian Nationwide Police reported on August 30 that an unidentified shooter killed Parubiy in Lviv Metropolis.[28] Sources reported to Ukrainian broadcaster Suspilne that the shooter shot Parubiy eight instances, was carrying a Glovo supply service uniform, and fled the scene on an electrical bike.[29] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukrainian authorities are investigating the homicide.[30]
A Russian servicemember not too long ago murdered an aged Ukrainian civilian within the Pokrovsk route. The Ukrainian Nationwide Guard’s 1st Azov Corps reported {that a} soldier of the Russian ninety fifth Motorized Rifle Regiment (fifth Motorized Rifle Brigade, 51st Mixed Arms Military [CAA], previously 1st Donetsk Individuals’s Republic [DNR AC], Southern Navy District [SMD]) murdered an unarmed Ukrainian man standing in his yard in southeastern Novoekonomichne (northeast of Pokrovsk) and revealed footage of the homicide.[31] The Rome Statute of the Worldwide Prison Courtroom (ICC) states that “deliberately direct assaults towards the civilian inhabitants or towards particular person civilians not taking direct half in hostilities” constitutes a severe violation of the legal guidelines and customs relevant in worldwide armed battle throughout the established framework of worldwide legislation.[32] Russian troopers have notably dedicated excessive atrocities towards civilians and troopers in Ukraine as a part of the broader navy modus operandi.[33]
Key Takeaways:
- The Kremlin seems to have launched a coordinated informational effort posturing navy energy on the battlefield as a way to form Western considering and falsely painting a Russian victory as inevitable.
- The Kremlin’s presentation of territorial features statistics ignores the numerous losses that Russia is incurring and the gradual, creeping nature of Russia’s advances — portray an incomplete image of Russian efficiency on the battlefield.
- Russia launched one other large-scale mixed drone and missile strike towards Ukraine on the night time of August 29 to 30 — the third mixed strike with over 500 drones and missiles for the reason that August 15 US-Russia summit in Alaska.
- The Kremlin seems to be setting situations to demote a senior Kremlin official who reportedly suggested Russian President Vladimir Putin in latest months to finish the conflict in Ukraine.
- Ukrainian forces proceed to strike Russian navy and vitality infrastructure in Russia
- Russian Investigative Committee Chairperson Alexander Bastrykin will keep in his present place for one more yr following experiences that Russian President Vladimir Putin was contemplating shifting Bastrykin to a brand new place.
- An unknown assailant shot and killed former Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Chairperson Andriy Parubiy in Lviv Metropolis on August 30.
- A Russian servicemember not too long ago murdered an aged Ukrainian civilian within the Pokrovsk route.
- Ukrainian forces not too long ago superior close to Kupyansk and Novopavlivka, and Russian forces not too long ago superior close to Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Velykomykhailivka.
We don’t report intimately on Russian conflict crimes as a result of these actions are well-covered in Western media and don’t straight have an effect on the navy operations we’re assessing and forecasting. We are going to proceed to guage and report on the consequences of those legal actions on the Ukrainian navy and the Ukrainian inhabitants and particularly on fight in Ukrainian city areas. We totally condemn Russian violations of the legal guidelines of armed battle and the Geneva Conventions and crimes towards humanity regardless that we don’t describe them in these experiences.
- Ukrainian Operations within the Russian Federation
- Russian Supporting Effort – Northern Axis
- Russian Most important Effort – Japanese Ukraine (comprised of three subordinate major efforts)
- Russian Subordinate Most important Effort #1 – Push Ukrainian forces again from the worldwide border with Belgorod Oblast and method to inside tube artillery vary of Kharkiv Metropolis
- Russian Subordinate Most important Effort #2 – Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into japanese Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast
- Russian Subordinate Most important Effort #3 – Seize everything of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas, and presumably advance into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis
- Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Marketing campaign
- Vital Exercise in Belarus
Ukrainian Operations within the Russian Federation
See topline textual content for Ukrainian strikes in Russia.
Russian Supporting Effort – Northern Axis (Russian goal: Create defensible buffer zones in northern Ukraine alongside the worldwide border)
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the northern Sumy Oblast on August 30 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked northwest of Sumy Metropolis close to Bezsalivka, northeast of Sumy Metropolis close to Yunakivka, and in unspecified areas of Sumy and Kursk oblasts on August 29 to 30.[34] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Yunakivka.[35]
A Russian milblogger reportedly affiliated with the Russian Northern Grouping of Forces claimed that Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes prevented parts of the Russian 2nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (reportedly of the Russian Aerospace Forces [VKS]) from attacking close to Novyi Put (northwest of Sumy Metropolis throughout the worldwide border).[36] The milblogger complained that the Russian navy command steadily sends Russian troopers throughout the worldwide border to assaults regardless of heavy Ukrainian oblique hearth.
Russian Most important Effort – Japanese Ukraine
Russian Subordinate Most important Effort #1 – Kharkiv Oblast (Russian goal: Push Ukrainian forces again from the worldwide border with Belgorod Oblast and method to inside tube artillery vary of Kharkiv Metropolis)
Russian forces continued offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast on August 30 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked north of Kharkiv Metropolis close to Hlyboke and towards Kozacha Lopan and northeast of Kharkiv Metropolis close to Vovchansk, Synelnykove, and Prilipka on August 29 and 30.[37]
A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces turned extra lively north of Kharkiv Metropolis alongside the Kharkiv Metropolis-Belgorod Metropolis railway line and that Russian forces are preventing towards the Prudyanka, Hraniv, and Slatyne railway stations on this railway line.[38]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian Chechen Zapad-Akhmat Battalion are reportedly working within the Kharkiv route.[39]
Neither Ukrainian nor Russian sources reported floor exercise within the Velykyi Burluk route on August 30.
Russian Subordinate Most important Effort #2 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian goal: Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into japanese Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast)
Ukrainian forces not too long ago superior within the Kupyansk route.
Assessed Ukrainian advances: Ukrainian Dnipro Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Viktor Trehubov reported on August 30 that Ukrainian forces not too long ago recaptured Myrove (northwest of Kupyansk), indicating that Russian forces doubtless now not maintain positions in Sobolivka (west of Kupyansk and instantly south of Myrove) and certain additionally seized Sobolivka.[40] A Russian milblogger corroborated Trehubov’s reporting by claiming that Russian forces haven’t fully seized Myrove and that the realm northwest of Myrove is a contested “grey” zone.[41]
Russian forces attacked towards Kupyansk itself, north of Kupyansk towards Kutkivka, northeast of Kupyansk close to Kamyanka and Fyholivka, and east of Kupyansk close to Petropavlivka on August 29 and 30.[42]
The commander of a Ukrainian regiment working within the Kupyansk route reported on August 30 that Russian forces are trying to infiltrate into Kupyansk by shifting by means of sewer traces into the settlement.[43] The commander famous that Russian forces proceed to aim to ascertain makeshift means to move infantry throughout the Oskil River.
Order of Battle: Parts of the Russian 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (eleventh Military Corps [AC], Leningrad Navy District [LMD]) reportedly proceed to function close to Stepova Novoselivka (southeast of Kupyansk).[44]
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Borova route on August 30 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces superior northeast of Olhivka and towards Druzhelyubivka and entered Maliivka and Andriivka (all southeast of Borova).[45]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Borova close to Zahryzove and southeast of Borova close to Andriivka and Maliivka, and towards Druzhelyubivka and Olhivka on August 29 and 30.[46]
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Lyman route on August 30 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: Russian sources claimed that Russian forces seized Hlushchenkove and Ridkodub (all north of Lyman).[47] Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces additionally seized the O-0527 Korovii Yar-Shandryholove freeway and superior east of Shandryholove (each northwest of Lyman).[48]
Russian forces attacked northwest of Lyman and towards Shandryholove and Derylove; north of Lyman close to Novyi Myr, Karpivka, Zelena Dolyna, and Ridkodub; northeast of Lyman close to Kolodyazi and Myrne; east of Lyman close to Zarichne; and southeast of Lyman towards Yampil on August 29 and 30.[49] Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Shandryholove, Ridkodub, and Novomykhailivka (northeast of Lyman).[50]
The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade working within the Lyman route reported that Russian infantry are leveraging Individuals’s Republic of China (PRC)-produced thermal imaging tents to hide their warmth signatures to method ahead positions within the Lyman route.[51] A non-commissioned officer (NCO) of a Ukrainian brigade working within the Lyman route reported on August 29 that Russian forces are conducting simultaneous assaults towards ahead positions and operations to infiltrate into the rear of Ukrainian forces.[52]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 752nd Motorized Rifle Regiment (third Motorized Rifle Division, twentieth Mixed Arms Military [CAA], Moscow Navy District [MMD]) reportedly proceed to function within the Lyman route.[53]
Russian Subordinate Most important Effort #3 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian goal: Seize everything of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas, and presumably advance into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast)
Russian forces continued offensive operations within the Siversk operations on August 30 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked northwest of Siversk close to Dronivka, northeast of Siversk close to Serebryanka and Hryhorivka, southeast of Siversk close to Vyimka, and south of Siversk close to Pereizne on August 29 and 30.[54]
A noncommissioned officer (NCO) of a Ukrainian brigade working within the Siversk route said on August 30 that Russian forces are working with a four-battalion system during which three battalions are working on the frontline and actively preventing towards one Ukrainian battalion, whereas Russian forces at all times maintain the fourth battalion in reserve.[55] The Ukrainian NCO said that every Russian brigade has an digital warfare (EW) firm tasked with detecting and suppressing Ukrainian drones. The Ukrainian NCO said that Russian forces normally launch over 200 artillery shells at Ukrainian forces per day within the Siversk route and that Russian forces expertly disguise the artillery techniques from Ukrainian drones, forcing Ukrainian forces to expend giant numbers of drones to strike every artillery system.
Order of Battle: Parts of the Russian seventh Motorized Rifle Brigade (third Mixed Arms Military [CAA], previously 2nd Luhansk Individuals’s Republic Military Corps [LNR AC], Southern Navy District [SMD]) are reportedly working close to Serebryanka.[56]
Russian forces performed offensive operations within the Chasiv Yar route on August 30 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces superior as much as the western outskirts of Predtechyne (south of Chasiv Yar).[57]
Russian forces attacked south of Chasiv Yar close to Stupochky and Predtechyne on August 29 and 30.[58]
A Russian milblogger rejected claims that Russian forces superior into Kostyantynivka (west of Chasiv Yar) from the east.[59]
Russian forces not too long ago superior within the Toretsk route.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on August 30 signifies that Russian forces not too long ago superior in western Rusyn Yar (northwest of Toretsk).[60]
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces superior east and northeast of Nelipivka (northwest of Toretsk).[61]
Russian forces performed offensive operations close to Toretsk itself; north of Toretsk close to Dyliivka; northwest of Toretsk close to Pleshchiivka, Rusyn Yar, Poltavka, Kleban Byk, and Katerynivka; and west of Toretsk close to Shcherbynivka on August 29 and 30.[62]
Order of Battle: Parts of the Russian 103rd Motorized Rifle Regiment (one hundred and fiftieth Motorized Rifle Division, eighth CAA, Southern Navy District [SMD]), drone operators of the 439th Rocket Artillery Brigade (eighth CAA), and artillery parts of the 238th Artillery Brigade (eighth CAA) are reportedly reconnoitering and placing the Ukrainian forces close to Kleban Byk.[63]
Russian forces not too long ago superior within the Pokrovsk route.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage filmed on August 28 and revealed on August 30 signifies that Russian forces not too long ago superior in southeastern Novoekonomichne (northeast of Pokrovsk).[64]
Russian forces attacked close to Pokrovsk itself; north of Pokrovsk close to Rodynske, Vilne, and Krasnyi Lyman; northeast of Pokrovsk close to Volodymyrivka, Novoekonomichne, Sukhetske, Sofiivka, Shakhove, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Mayak, and Zapovidne and within the Kapitalna Mine (simply west of Novoekonomichne); east of Pokrovsk close to Myrolyubivka and Promin and towards Myrnohrad; southeast of Pokrovsk close to Lysivka and towards Novopavlivka; south of Pokrovsk close to Novoukrainka; and southwest of Pokrovsk close to Zvirove, Udachne, and Kotlyne on August 29 and 30.[65] Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked in Pokrovsk itself, close to Volodymyrivka, and from Troyanda (southwest of Pokrovsk).[66]
An NCO of a Ukrainian brigade working within the Pokrovsk route reported on August 30 that Russian forces are trying to advance and accumulate in small assault teams and have been pulling ahead numerous self-propelled artillery techniques since about August 22.[67] The NCO said that Russian forces suffered heavy artillery losses on account of Ukrainian drone strikes and are utilizing tanks as artillery techniques. The Ukrainian NCO said that these Russian tanks interact in shoot-and-scoot techniques by driving to firing factors and driving away after firing. The NCO said that Russian forces on this route are more and more utilizing unmanned floor techniques (UGVs) for logistics and are trying to make use of bikes and buggies to move ammunition to be used in later assaults.
Ukrainian forces not too long ago superior within the Novopavlivka route.
Assessed Ukrainian advances: Ukrainian navy observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported on August 30 that Ukrainian forces recaptured Zelenyi Hai (southwest of Novopavlivka).[68] A Ukrainian battalion working within the Novopavlivka route reported that Ukrainian forces seized the settlement.[69]
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces superior east of Novopavlivka and on the southwestern outskirts of Muravka (northeast of Novopavlivka).[70]
Russian forces attacked towards Novopavlivka itself, south of Novopavlivka close to Filiya, and southwest of Novopavlivka close to Zelenyi Hai on August 29 and 30.[71]
Russian forces not too long ago superior within the Velykomykhailivka route.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage revealed on August 30 signifies that Russian forces not too long ago superior in japanese Komyshuvakha (southeast of Velykomykhailivka).[72]
Unconfirmed claims: The Russian Ministry of Protection (MoD) claimed on August 30 that Russian forces seized Komyshuvakha.[73] Russian milbloggers claimed that parts of the Russian 57th Motorized Rifle Brigade (fifth CAA, Japanese Navy District [EMD]) seized the settlement.[74]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Velykomykhailivka close to Andriivka-Klevtsove; east of Velykomykhailivka close to Oleksandrohrad and Voskresenka and towards Novoselivka; and southeast of Velykomykhailivka close to Vorone, Maliivka, Shevchenko, Komyshuvakha, and Zaporizske on August 29 and 30.[75]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 14th Spetsnaz Brigade (Russian Normal Workers’s Most important Directorate [GRU]) and parts of the 657th Anti-Tank Artillery Battalion (twenty ninth CAA, EMD) are reportedly placing Ukrainian forces close to Novoselivka and Sosnivka (each southeast of Velykomykhailivka).[76] Parts of the 305th Artillery Brigade (fifth CAA, EMD) are reportedly placing Ukrainian forces close to Kalynivske (south of Velykomykhailivka).[77] Parts of the eleventh Air Drive and Air Protection Military (Russian Aerospace Forces [VKS] and EMD) are reportedly placing Ukrainian forces close to Berezove (southeast of Velykomykhailivka).[78]
Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian goal: Preserve frontline positions, safe rear areas towards Ukrainian strikes, and advance inside tube artillery vary of Zaporizhzhia Metropolis)
Russian forces performed restricted offensive operations in japanese Zaporizhia Oblast on August 30 however didn’t make confirmed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed on August 30 that Russian forces superior in direction of Novoivanivka (northeast of Hulyaipole).[79]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Hulyaipole close to Zelene Pole and towards Novoivanivka on August 30.[80]
Russian forces continued offensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast on August 30 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked southeast of Orikhiv close to Mala Tokmachka, south of Orikhiv in direction of Novodanylivka, southwest of Orikhiv close to Stepove, and west of Orikhiv close to Stepnohirsk, Kamyanske, and Plavni on August 29 and 30.[81]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian BARS-Sarmat Unmanned Techniques Particular Goal Heart (previously BARS-Sarmat Detachment, subordinated to Airborne [VDV] Forces) are reportedly placing Ukrainian positions close to Stepnohirsk.[82]
Russian forces continued restricted assaults within the Kherson route on August 30 however didn’t advance.[83]
A Russian milblogger who steadily experiences on Russian oblique hearth missions towards western Kherson Oblast claimed on August 29 that Russian forces will quickly improve the variety of artillery crews and strikes towards the west (proper) financial institution of the Dnipro River.[84]
Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 126th Coastal Protection Brigade (twenty second Military Corps [AC], Black Sea Fleet [BSF]) are reportedly working within the Kherson route.[85]
Geolocated footage revealed on August 30 exhibits smoke, reportedly from an explosion, close to the Simferopol Worldwide Airport in occupied Aeroflotskyi, Crimea.[86] The reason for the explosion is unclear.
Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Marketing campaign (Russian Goal: Goal Ukrainian navy and civilian infrastructure within the rear and on the frontline)
See topline textual content for experiences of Russian strikes towards Ukraine.
Vital exercise in Belarus (Russian efforts to extend its navy presence in Belarus and additional combine Belarus into Russian-favorable frameworks)
Nothing important to report.
Notice: ISW doesn’t obtain any labeled materials from any supply, makes use of solely publicly accessible info, and attracts extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media, in addition to commercially accessible satellite tv for pc imagery and different geospatial knowledge as the idea for these experiences. References to all sources used are supplied within the endnotes of every replace.
[1] https://t.me/mod_russia/56070
[2] https://t.me/mod_russia/56070
[3] https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-29-2025
[4] https://meduza dot io/function/2025/08/29/2000-chelovek-v-nedelyu-stolko-teryala-rossiya-na-pike-svoego-nastupleniya-v-donbasse
[5] https://isw.pub/UkrWar110924; https://isw.pub/UkrWar111624; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-17-2024; https://isw.pub/UkrWar111924; https://isw.pub/UkrWar112424;
[6] https://isw.pub/UkrWar061925; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russias-weakness-offers-leverage; https://isw.pub/UkrWar051825; https://isw.pub/UkrWar021625
[7] https://isw.pub/UkrWar070125; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-27-2025; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-19-2025; https://isw.pub/UkrWar081625
[8] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-25-2025; https://isw.pub/UkrWar081725; https://isw.pub/UkrWar081625; https://isw.pub/UkrWar081425; https://isw.pub/UkrWar081325; https://isw.pub/UkrWar081225
[9] https://t.me/kpszsu/41330
[10] https://t.me/V_Zelenskiy_official/15846 ; https://t.me/SJTF_Odes/12899
[11] https://t.me/Mykola_Kalashnyk/6805; https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/08/30/desyatygodynna-tryvoga-na-kyyivshhyni-ye-vluchannya-v-liniyu-elektroperedach-zaliznyczi/
[12] https://youtu.be/qveGIDI4qOo ; https://suspilne dot media/dnipro/1102808-rosijska-armia-vdarila-po-dnipru-so-kazut-ocevidci/
[13] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-28-2025 ; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-21-2025
[14] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-27-2025
[15] http://publication.pravo dot gov.ru/doc/0001202508290048?index=3; https://www.vedomosti dot ru/politics/articles/2025/08/29/1135239-ap-poyavitsya-upravlenie
[16] https://www.vedomosti dot ru/politics/articles/2025/08/29/1135000-kozak-rassmatrivaetsya
[17] https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/10/world/europe/putin-russia-ukraine-war-dmitri-kozak.html; https://iswwebstg.wpenginepowered.com/analysis/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-11-2025/
[18] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russia-review-kremlins-fake-de-escalation-donbas; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-31-2023 ; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-4 ; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-12-2024 ; https://meduza dot io/en/function/2022/06/10/the-viceroy; https://iswwebstg.wpenginepowered.com/analysis/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-11-2025/
[19] https://isw.pub/UkrWar082425
[20] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28431
[21] https://x.com/neonhandrail/standing/1961645381294436597; https://x.com/Osinttechnical/standing/1961586591131926951; https://x.com/Osinttechnical/standing/1961586717011366279; https://t.me/kiber_boroshno/12002; https://t.me/WarArchive_ua/30566; https://t.me/usf_army/862
[22] https://t.me/kiber_boroshno/12004; https://t.me/WarArchive_ua/30566; https://t.me/usf_army/862
[23] https://t.me/opershtab23/14038
[24] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-29-2025; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-28-2025 ; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-23-2025 ; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-26-2025
[25] https://suspilne dot media/1102758-rosia-vdarila-po-zaporizzu-ermak-zustrivsa-z-vitkoffom-u-nu-jorku-1284-den-vijni/?anchor=live_1756556156&utm_source=copylink&utm_medium=ps
[26] https://meduza dot io/information/2025/08/30/putin-prodlil-na-god-polnomochiya-bastrykina-v-sledstvennom-komitete; publication.pravo dot gov.ru/doc/0001202508300001
[27] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-25-2025
[28] https://t.me/UA_National_Police/47808;
[29] https://suspilne dot media/amp/lviv/1102956-u-lvovi-vbili-andria-parubia/
[30] https://www.president.gov dot ua/information/pripinennya-vognyu-potribne-i-todi-ce-bude-chitkij-signal-sh-99865;https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa/standing/1961808807438242003
[31] *GRAPHIC*https://t.me/azov_media/7219 ; https://suspilne dot media/donbas/1103130-persij-korpus-ngu-azov-zafiksuvav-fakt-zagibeli-ludini-v-civilnomu-odazi-u-pokrovskomu-rajoni-na-doneccini/
[32] https://www.icc-cpi.int/websites/default/information/2024-05/Rome-Statute-eng.pdf
[33] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-occupation-update-may-5-2025; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-occupation-update-april-28-2025; https://isw.pub/OccupationUpdate050125
[34] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33158 ; https://t.me/severnnyi/4975
[35] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33158
[36] https://pikabu dot ru/story/boytsyi_2_msp_vks_vozle_vechnogo_ognya_v_np_kozinka_12659512 ; https://t.me/severnnyi/4977
[37] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33192 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865 ; https://t.me/severnnyi/4975 ; https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/13982
[38] https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/13982
[39] https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/13982
[40] https://suspilne dot media/kharkiv/1102928-bila-kupanska-zsu-zvilnili-selo-z-akogo-rosiani-kontroluvali-trasu-na-misto/
[41] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41590
[42] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416
[43] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/08/30/netypove-pronyknennya-yak-rosiyany-namagayutsya-forsuvaty-richku/
[44] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41604
[45] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41613 ; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/67111
[46] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33172 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416
[47] https://t.me/mod_russia/56070
[48] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41613 ; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/67109 ; https://t.me/yurasumy/24479
[49] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439; https://t.me/dva_majors/78465 ; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/67110 ; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/67112 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33172 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865
[50] https://t.me/wargonzo/28865 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33172
[51] https://suspilne dot media/1102758-rosia-vdarila-po-zaporizzu-ermak-zustrivsa-z-vitkoffom-u-nu-jorku-1284-den-vijni/?anchor=live_1756544837&utm_source=copylink&utm_medium=ps; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vnsq2tu2Oo0&ab_channel=%D0percentA1percentD1percent83percentD1percent81percentD0percentBFpercentD1percent96percentD0percentBBpercentD1percent8CpercentD0percentBDpercentD0percentB5percentD0percent9DpercentD0percentBEpercentD0percentB2percentD0percentB8percentD0percentBDpercentD0percentB8
[52] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/08/29/perekydannya-uskladnene-chornym-zherebczem-poblyzu-lymanu-voroga-vidbyvayut-na-peredovij-ta-v-tylu/
[53] https://t.me/dva_majors/78461
[54] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439 https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33180
[55] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/08/30/stysnuly-motoczykletnyj-bataljon-zsu-pro-protydiyu-taktyczi-voroga/
[56] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41620
[57] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41622
[58] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416;
[59] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41622
[60] https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9897; https://t.me/blak93/11019
[61] https://t.me/wargonzo/28865; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33157
[62] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865
[63] https://t.me/motopatriot78/41607; https://t.me/nm_dnr/14236
[64] (GRAPHIC): https://x.com/Bielitzling/standing/1961810466218348924; https://t.me/azov_media/7219
[65] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865; https://t.me/dva_majors/78465 ; https://t.me/rusich_army/25443
[66] https://t.me/wargonzo/28865 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/78465 ; https://t.me/rusich_army/25443
[67] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/08/30/okupanty-pochaly-yizdyty-na-monokolesi-ta-vykorystovuvaty-tanky-yak-artyleriyu/
[68] https://www.fb.com/pashtetof/posts/pfbid04v1rVpW9cgFikRVnvRpoZwqCaPV3XBF3WCLcR1kZ9PFYDYAL8j42d9ZHDgnBoavgl; https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/2952
[69] https://t.me/opforukraine/176 ; https://t.me/ButusovPlus/22545
[70] https://t.me/z_arhiv/32296
[71] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865;
[72] https://t.me/osintpen/1707; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9899; https://x.com/richardzai38580/standing/1961762625156763998; https://t.me/voin_dv/16677
[73] https://t.me/mod_russia/56061
[74] https://t.me/voin_dv/16677; https://t.me/dva_majors/78497
[75] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865; https://t.me/rybar/73216; https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/2952; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/67107
[76] https://t.me/voin_dv/16667; https://t.me/voin_dv/16675
[77] https://t.me/voin_dv/16671
[78] https://t.me/voin_dv/16680
[79] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/67107
[80] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439
[81] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28439; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416 ; https://t.me/SJTF_Odes/12898; https://t.me/wargonzo/28865; https://t.me/dva_majors/78465
[82] https://t.me/rogozin_do/7521
[83] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28418; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/28416; https://t.me/SJTF_Odes/12898
[84] https://t.me/osvedomitell_alex/28659
[85] https://t.me/osvedomitell_alex/28654
[86] https://x.com/GeoConfirmed/standing/1961742404710441368; https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/standing/1961719020115181945; https://t.me/Crimeanwind/85450; https://militarnyi dot com/en/information/explosion-heard-near-airport-in-simferopol-thick-column-of-smoke-in-the-sky/
