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White Home press secretary Karoline Leavitt framed the present turmoil within the U.S. financial system — punctuated by sinking inventory costs and a softening job market — as hallmarks of a “interval of financial transition.”
Throughout a typically contentious afternoon press convention on the White Home on Tuesday, Leavitt blamed the present volatility on the “mess” left behind by the Biden administration.
“We’re in a interval of financial transition from that financial nightmare below a president who had no concept what he was doing, by no means held a non-public sector job in his life, right into a golden age of American manufacturing,” Leavitt mentioned.
Leavitt was echoing feedback remodeled the weekend by President Donald Trump.
President Trump made headlines and rattled markets when he was requested on Fox Information (FOXA-2.06%)’ “Sunday Morning Futures” whether or not he’s anticipating a recession this 12 months by replying: “I hate to foretell issues like that. There’s a interval of transition, as a result of what we’re doing could be very large.”
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, although, was extra particular, saying on NBC’s (CMCSA-0.14%) “Meet the Press” that “there’s going to be no recession in America.”
Economists usually, although, are much less rosy of their outlook.
“The probabilities for a recession are fairly excessive for 2025,” mentioned Stephen Henn, adjunct professor of economics at Sacred Coronary heart College. He added that how a lot folks really feel it’d fluctuate enormously relying on their circumstances.
“If the discount in authorities spending is just not outweighed by a rise in client spending, enterprise funding, and/or web exports, then we’re very more likely to see a recession,” Henn mentioned.