A Photo voltaic-System-wide cataclysm?
In his assessment, Wright would not dismiss the potential for earlier technological civilizations on Earth, Venus, Mars, the icy moons of the outer Photo voltaic System, and different places. He then investigates the probability of any artifacts remaining from these civilizations (low on worlds reminiscent of Venus and Earth, larger for locations like Mars) right this moment. Wright additionally considers why such previous civilizations could now not exist right this moment.
“The obvious reply is a cataclysm, whether or not a pure occasion, reminiscent of an extinction-level asteroid influence, or self-inflicted, reminiscent of a world local weather disaster,” Wright asserts. “Within the case of a previous space-faring species that had settled the Photo voltaic System, such an occasion would solely completely extinguish the species if there have been many cataclysms throughout the Photo voltaic System carefully spaced in time (a swarm of comets, or interplanetary warfare maybe), or if the settlements weren’t utterly self-sufficient. Alternatively, an surprising close by gamma ray burst or supernova may produce a Photo voltaic-System-wide cataclysm.”
Clearly, with this analysis we’re properly into the realm of hypothesis. Whereas it’s true that we have now no method however radar mapping to discover the floor of Venus, people have extensively explored our personal planet and positioned plenty of rovers on the floor of Mars. For all of this, there’s not a shred of proof that superior civilization has existed anyplace within the Photo voltaic System however Earth throughout the previous couple of millennia.
From a purely scientific standpoint, it is a completely affordable query to ask whether or not life could have existed elsewhere within the Photo voltaic System, or does right this moment. That’s, more and more, certainly one of NASA’s raisons d’être. However when a Congressman asks about such a civilization present hundreds of years in the past on Mars, and attributes the query to “some individuals,” it is justifiable to carry the query as much as scrutiny.